9 responses

• Jim Cowie May 06, 2008
   

  He believes that Obama may be headed for a 17 point win, based on an underestimation of the African-American registered voter turnout. A lot of really good detail and statistical demographics backing up the prediction. Of course, it's politics, so who knows what will really happen

   
• Arkansan May 06, 2008
   

  My fingers are crossed for him here and in Indiana. I found myself telling a pollster who telephoned last night that if the general election is between McCain & Clinton I might vote Libertarian. First time I've said that out loud.

   
• Arkansan May 06, 2008
   

  Libertarian Party might be running Bob Barr. Might have to re-think vote.

   
• todd May 06, 2008
   

  Arkansan: the Libertarian Party *is* running Bob Barr. If you can't vote for him, you can't vote Libertarian. Why the Clinton hate?

   
• Arkansan May 06, 2008
   

  Todd: I have high hopes for Obama. Compare the following to Clinton's "gas tax holiday."
  May 06, 2008
  Categories: Barack Obama
  
  Meanwhile, in his spare time...
  
  
  ...Obama seems to have brought peace to the Niger Delta. No joke.
  
  Reuters:
  
  Rebels who have stepped up attacks on Nigeria's oil industry in the last month said on Sunday they were considering a ceasefire appeal by U.S. presidential hopeful Barack Obama.
  
  The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) has launched five attacks on oil facilities in the Niger Delta since it resumed a campaign of violence in April, forcing Royal Dutch Shell to shut more than 164,000 barrels of oil per day (bpd).
  
  "The MEND command is seriously considering a temporary ceasefire appeal by Senator Barack Obama. Obama is someone we respect and hold in high esteem," the militant group said in an e-mailed statement.
  
  

   
• gregg May 06, 2008
   

  Todd, as for my Clinton hate... whatever neutrality I had about her is evaporating as she scrambles and distorts reality in her efforts to convince America that she is the "popular" candidate. It is depressing to watch such squabbling.

   
• todd May 07, 2008
   

  Squabbling is what makes america great! I really do think that people who complain about such things should be required to suggest some way that a dissimilar group of 300m people *should* decide things. I have no idea what else we could be doing, other than not doing this at all (dictatorship, oligopoly, radical local succession into homogeneous tiny groups, etc).

   
• Jim Cowie May 07, 2008
   

  two words: sodahead poll.

   
• Jim Cowie May 09, 2008
   

  Here's a great followup on this thread, noting how close he came, relative to the other polling. Score one for the methodology! http://www.nationaljournal.com/​njonline/​mp_20080507_8254.php